TOP

IN, NV & WV Senate Race Numbers Released

West Virginia

In the race for U.S. Senate in West Virginia, incumbent Senator Joe Manchin leads Attorney General Patrick Morrisey by five points, 45 percent to 40 percent. When asked to choose, undecided voters are deadlocked between the two candidates, 50 percent support Morrisey and 50 percent support Manchin.

A majority of West Virginians (50 percent) are more likely to vote in the upcoming election following the battle for Justice Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the U.S. Supreme Court. His confirmation motivated both parties, with 52 percent of Democrats and 52 percent of Republicans stating that they are more likely to vote in November. However, less than a quarter of voters say Manchin’s “yes” vote makes them more likely to support him.

“With less than one in four West Virginia voters saying they are more likely to support Senator Manchin because of his vote to confirm Justice Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, it appears his eleventh hour decision did not have the impact he was hoping for,” said Macy Cambio, Vox Populi Polling’s Managing Director. “While Manchin is up by a slim margin with less than three weeks until Election Day, Patrick Morrisey is well positioned to close the gap if he can convince the 61 percent of independent voters who hold a favorable view of President Donald Trump that he is the best candidate to help advance the Trump agenda in Washington.”

The survey also found:

  • 50% of Democrats believe it is appropriate to confront elected officials over political differences in public places like restaurants and outside of their homes.
  • President Trump’s approval rating stands at 59% | 38%.

Nevada

In the Nevada Senate contest, incumbent Senator Dean Heller and Congresswoman Jacky Rosen are tied with 44 percent support for each. Heller trails Rosen among undecided voters by 20 points, 40 percent to 60 percent.

Voters are also split on Heller’s vote in favor of confirming Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court, with 34 percent saying they are more likely to vote for him because of it and 34 percent saying they are less likely to vote for him. The majority of voters on both sides of the aisle (53 percent) are now more motivated to vote in the upcoming election due to the events surrounding Kavanaugh’s confirmation.

“Unlike other Senate contests, Senator Heller can’t rely on his Kavanaugh vote to help get him across the finish line in what is now a tied race with Rep. Rosen,” said Macy Cambio, Vox Populi Polling’s Managing Director. “While Justice Kavanaugh’s confirmation battle has galvanized voters across the country, Nevada voters are evenly split on the impact of Senator Heller’s vote on their Election Day decision.”

The survey also found:

  • Attorney General Adam Laxalt trails Clark County Commissioner Steve Sisolak in the Gubernatorial race by two points, 40 percent to 42 percent, with 18 percent undecided.
  • Just under half of Democrats (45 percent) believe it is appropriate to confront elected officials over political differences in public places like restaurants and outside of their homes.
  • President Trump’s approval rating stands at 45% | 50%.

Indiana

In the bid for Indiana’s Senate seat, Democrats are more enthusiastic about the upcoming election compared to Republicans, and the recent confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh has motivated them even more to vote this November. Incumbent Senator Joe Donnelly is benefiting from this gap, as he leads Businessman Mike Braun by eight points, 44 percent to 36 percent, with 20 percent of voters still undecided.

39 percent of voters stated that they are now more likely to vote in the upcoming election due to Justice Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court. Democrats, by a seventeen point margin (51 percent to 34 percent) are more likely to vote than Republicans in the midterm election because of the battle around Justice Kavanaugh’s confirmation.

“The uptick in enthusiasm among Democrats following Justice Kavanaugh’s confirmation is a direct result of Senator Donnelly’s vote against him,” said Vox Populi Polling’s Managing Director. “Nearly two-thirds of Democrats, and a third of Independents say Donnelly’s “no” vote makes them more likely to vote for him this November. This, compared to just over half of Republicans who say his vote means they are less likely to support him suggests Donnelly may have ultimately made the right call in opposing Justice Kavanaugh in an otherwise reliably red state.”

The survey also found:

  • Nearly half of Democrats (47 percent) believe it is appropriate to confront elected officials over political differences in public places like restaurants and outside of their homes
  • President Trump’s approval rating stands at 45% | 47%.

Indiana toplinesNevada toplines and West Virginia toplines.